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Final Child Care Needs Assessment – 2015 and 2025 City of Redwood City October 19, 2016 Page 5 of 15 Prepared by Brion Economics, Inc. Final Report Demographic Tables Table 1 shows population estimates for the City at 2015 and 2025, based on population projections from the City of Redwood City’s Community Development Department. As shown, total population is estimated at 82,900 for 2015 and is expected to increase to 88,400 at 2025, or by 6.6%. Table 1 also calculates 2015 population by age group for all children from birth to 12 years old. The breakdown of children by age is calculated based on data from the 2010 U.S. Census, which breaks down population by age. The percentage of children by age from the U.S. Census 2010 was applied to current 2015 and 2025 population figures to estimate the current and future number of children by age group. Citywide, there are approximately 2,500 children under the age of two years, 3,700 children between the ages of two and four years old, and 8,600 children between the ages of five and 12 years, for a total of 14,800 in 2015. Children ages 12 and under make up approximately 17.9% of the total City population. For 2025, it is estimated that there will be 2,700 children under the age of two years, 3,900 children between the ages of two and four years old, and 9,100 children between the ages of five to 12 years, for a total of 15,800. Employment Current and future employment projections in Redwood City were provided by the City’s Community Development Department and are summarized in Table 2. As of 2015, there are approximately 57,400 employees, or jobs, in Redwood City. Total employment is expected to increase significantly: by 23.6% to 71,000 by 2025. Also shown in Table 2 is the percent and number of employees that work in Redwood City but live outside of San Mateo County, based on data from the U.S. Census Journey-to-Work data.1 These numbers are calculated for 2015 and the 2015 assumptions are applied to 2025 total employment estimates. Overall, approximately 48% of employees that work in Redwood City reside outside of the County. It is assumed that 3% of employees require licensed care in the City, based on other studies that have looked at employee demand. The analysis assumes one child (age birth to four years old) per employee, on average, of those employees that are assumed to demand care (or 3% of those that work in the City but live outside the County). Of those children, it is assumed that 40% require infant spaces and 60% require preschool spaces. This breakdown is based on the current ratio of infants and preschool age children in San Mateo County. For 2015, it is estimated that employees who work in the City but reside outside of the County have a total of 827 children between the ages of birth and four years old. These children are estimated to generate demand for 331 infant spaces and 496 preschool spaces. In 2025, the 1 The Journey-to-Work data is from 2006-2008 (most current available). Data was provided by Shimon Israel at MTC in March 2016. 8.C. - Page 9