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6.1. - Page 2 of 38 <br />The portion of the City's portfolio that is managed by PFM has a total market value at quarter end of <br />$140,300,732. As of September 30, the portfolio was earning an annual yield at cost of 2.62% and the <br />yield at market was 2.93%. The average maturity of the portfolio was 2.65 years. <br />The market benchmark, selected with consultation from the Council Finance/Audit Subcommittee, is the <br />Bank of America Merrill Lynch (BofA ML) 1-5 year U.S. Treasury Index. Below is a table summarizing the <br />City's portfolio performance compared to the benchmark, for the third quarter of 20181. <br />Economic data in the quarter was favorable; inflation is near the Fed's 2% target, and strong labor market <br />conditions continue. Most investment-grade sectors contributed to positive excess returns (return in <br />excess of similar duration Treasuries). Corporate returns dominated their government counterparts, <br />adding significant value to the portfolio in the third quarter. Federal agencies remained expensive as most <br />maturities offer less than 5% incremental yield relative to U.S. Treasuries. Supranationals continued to <br />offer attractive yield advantage over comparable maturity Treasuries. Similarly, AAA rated asset-backed <br />securities (ABS) generated attractive excess returns for the quarter, while providing a level of <br />diversification to the credit allocations. The yield environment continued to favor short-term credit, <br />commercial paper and negotiable certificates of deposits (CD), which provided incremental income and <br />interest rate risk protection to the portfolio. <br />Looking ahead, the Federal Reserve has indicated another interest rate increase is likely in 2018, and three <br />to four increases in 2019. As interest rates continue to increase, PFM will continue to maintain the <br />portfolio with a defensive duration bias (keeping the duration at 95% of the benchmark) to help insulate <br />market values in a raising interest rate environment. PFM will continue to reduce agency holdings and <br />seek better value in other sectors. In conjunction with tight yield spreads, PFM is going to be more <br />selective and defensive with corporate positioning, continuing to favor issuers with stronger balance <br />sheets and valuations, which can better withstand the current phase of the credit cycle. Negotiable CDs <br />and ABS offer attractive incremental income compared to government security alternatives. Short-term <br />money market investments such as commercial paper and CDs have a steep yield curve, offering <br />opportunities to extend maturities and add to allocations in this space. <br />PFM will continue to monitor incoming economic data, federal policy, and sector relationships to identify <br />market opportunities. PFM has provided an in-depth market summary and discussion on their investment <br />strategy and outlook in the attached investment report. <br />1 Returns for periods under one year are periodic, and all other returns are annualized. Performance excludes <br />funds invested in the San Mateo County Treasurer's investment pool and State Treasurer's investment pool. <br />City of Redwood City 1017 Middlefield Road, Redwood Ci7CA. 94063 Tel: 650-780-7000 www.redwoodcity.org <br />181 <br />Redwood City <br />0.28% <br />0.56% <br />2.38 2.93% <br />2.62 years <br />BofA ML 1-5 year U.S. <br />Treasury Index <br />0.05% <br />0.26% <br />2.57 2.86% <br />2.77 years <br />Economic data in the quarter was favorable; inflation is near the Fed's 2% target, and strong labor market <br />conditions continue. Most investment-grade sectors contributed to positive excess returns (return in <br />excess of similar duration Treasuries). Corporate returns dominated their government counterparts, <br />adding significant value to the portfolio in the third quarter. Federal agencies remained expensive as most <br />maturities offer less than 5% incremental yield relative to U.S. Treasuries. Supranationals continued to <br />offer attractive yield advantage over comparable maturity Treasuries. Similarly, AAA rated asset-backed <br />securities (ABS) generated attractive excess returns for the quarter, while providing a level of <br />diversification to the credit allocations. The yield environment continued to favor short-term credit, <br />commercial paper and negotiable certificates of deposits (CD), which provided incremental income and <br />interest rate risk protection to the portfolio. <br />Looking ahead, the Federal Reserve has indicated another interest rate increase is likely in 2018, and three <br />to four increases in 2019. As interest rates continue to increase, PFM will continue to maintain the <br />portfolio with a defensive duration bias (keeping the duration at 95% of the benchmark) to help insulate <br />market values in a raising interest rate environment. PFM will continue to reduce agency holdings and <br />seek better value in other sectors. In conjunction with tight yield spreads, PFM is going to be more <br />selective and defensive with corporate positioning, continuing to favor issuers with stronger balance <br />sheets and valuations, which can better withstand the current phase of the credit cycle. Negotiable CDs <br />and ABS offer attractive incremental income compared to government security alternatives. Short-term <br />money market investments such as commercial paper and CDs have a steep yield curve, offering <br />opportunities to extend maturities and add to allocations in this space. <br />PFM will continue to monitor incoming economic data, federal policy, and sector relationships to identify <br />market opportunities. PFM has provided an in-depth market summary and discussion on their investment <br />strategy and outlook in the attached investment report. <br />1 Returns for periods under one year are periodic, and all other returns are annualized. Performance excludes <br />funds invested in the San Mateo County Treasurer's investment pool and State Treasurer's investment pool. <br />City of Redwood City 1017 Middlefield Road, Redwood Ci7CA. 94063 Tel: 650-780-7000 www.redwoodcity.org <br />181 <br />