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Agmt19 CDM Smith, Inc.
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Agmt19 CDM Smith, Inc.
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Last modified
10/22/2020 11:46:47 AM
Creation date
4/29/2019 5:22:28 PM
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Template:
Agreement
Contractor Name
CDM Smith, Inc.
PROJECT NAME
PSA Financial feasibility study ferry terminal
RMP File Number
304
Date
2/4/2019
MO Ref
19-014
Amendment
Yes
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Exhibit A <br />SCOPE OF SERVICES <br />Consultant shall revise the ridership forecast (Task 1.6) as set forth below. Consultant <br />shall additionally make revisions to its analyses due to the change in the ridership forecast <br />regarding financial feasibility (Task 1.7), benefit -cost (Task 2.3), and economic impact <br />(Task 2.4) tasks as a result of changes made to task 1.6. Consultant will complete the <br />following tasks and perform the travel demand forecast analysis to incorporate the Water <br />Emergency Transportation Authority's (WETA) vessel capacity thresholds. Consultant will <br />revise the forecast to consider additional variables affecting ridership including but not <br />limited to WETA's capacity requirements, growth in ridership over the period studied, and <br />WETA's experience with ridership in their system. <br />Task 1.6 — Ridership / Travel Demand Forecast <br />The purpose of this task is to consider the challenges of new ferry service and forecast <br />ridership for the service scenarios developed in Task 1.5. As noted in the previous task, <br />the Consultant will use a workbook -based gravity model to forecast ridership, since macro <br />regional models cannot take into consideration the subtleties that influence ferry ridership. <br />The forecast will produce ridership estimates for a future No -Build Base Alternative and <br />three future years for up to three operating scenarios / Build Alternatives. For the future <br />years, the forecast will include transit mode split with and without ferry service and future <br />ridership demand given potential residential and employment growth under the City of <br />Redwood City General Plan and major employer job growth forecasts, if available (see <br />Task 1.6.1). The Consultant will estimate daily demand during AM/PM peak periods, and <br />peak and low seasons, and project annual ridership. Sensitivity testing will be used to <br />evaluate land use alternatives necessary to generate minimum, viable ridership, as <br />defined under Task 1.2.2 Evaluation Criteria. <br />Task 1.6.1 — Estimate Ridership <br />Consultant will forecast the minimum viable ridership forecasts for up to three (3) future <br />years. We will also develop ridership forecasts for the forecast duration based on the <br />assumptions. Consultant will develop a spreadsheet -based ridership forecast model that <br />accounts for travel times (including wait times), travel costs for the alternative routes and <br />ferry routes, and other characteristics unique to ferry travel. The Consultant will use cost <br />ratio methods and information from the travel surveys to assign traffic between routes <br />served by ferry and those not served by ferry. In accomplishing this, the Consultant will <br />utilize the most feasible/cost efficient methodology, based on the available data and <br />updated forecasting models. The following approach will be applied: <br />■ The Consultant will utilize diversion models and apply cost constraints and <br />elasticity relationships. The diversion analysis will be based on the relative <br />REV: 10-02-2020 PR <br />ATTY/AGR.Amend. No. 1/CDM Smith, Inc. (Page 3 of 4) <br />
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