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7.A. - Page 66 of 285 <br />2019 Energy Efficiency Ordinance Cost-effectiveness Study <br />2.5 Cost-effectiveness <br />Cost-effectiveness was evaluated for all sixteen climate zones and is presented based on both TDV energy, using <br />the Energy Commission's LCC methodology, and an On -Bill approach using residential customer utility rates. <br />Both methodologies require estimating and quantifying the value of the energy impact associated with energy <br />efficiency measures over the life of the measures (30 years) as compared to the prescriptive Title 24 <br />requirements. <br />Results are presented as a lifecycle benefit -to -cost (B/C) ratio, a net present value (NPV) metric which <br />represents the cost-effectiveness of a measure over a 30 -year lifetime taking into account discounting of future <br />savings and costs and financing of incremental first costs. A value of one indicates the NPV of the savings over <br />the life of the measure is equivalent to the NPV of the lifetime incremental cost of that measure. A value greater <br />than one represents a positive return on investment. The B/C ratio is calculated according to Equation 3. <br />Equation 3 <br />NPV of lifetime benefit <br />Bene f it — to — Cost Ratio = <br />NPV of lifetime cost <br />In most cases the benefit is represented by annual utility savings or TDV savings and the cost by incremental first <br />cost and replacement costs. However, in some cases a measure may have incremental cost savings but with <br />increased energy related costs. In this case, the benefit is the lower first cost and the cost is the increase in <br />utility bills. The lifetime costs or benefits are calculated according to Equation 4. <br />Equation 4 <br />NPV of lifetime cost/benefit = Zt 1Annual cost/benefits * (1 + r)s <br />Where: <br />• n = analysis term <br />• r= discount rate <br />The following summarizes the assumptions applied in this analysis to both methodologies. <br />• Analysis term of 30 -years <br />• Real discount rate of 3 percent <br />• Inflation rate of 2 percent <br />• First incremental costs are financed into a 30 -year mortgage <br />• Mortgage interest rate of 4.5 percent <br />• Average tax rate of 20 percent (to account for tax savings due to loan interest deductions) <br />2.5.1 On -Bill Customer Lifecycle Cost <br />Residential utility rates were used to calculate utility costs for all cases and determine On -Bill customer cost- <br />effectiveness for the proposed packages. The Reach Codes Team obtained the recommended utility rates from <br />each IOU based on the assumption that the reach codes go into effect January of 2020. Annual utility costs were <br />calculated using hourly electricity and gas output from CBECC-Res and applying the utility tariffs summarized in <br />Table 5. Appendix B — Utility Tariff Details includes the utility rate schedules used for this study. The applicable <br />residential time -of -use (TOU) rate was applied to all cases.13 Annual electricity production in excess of annual <br />electricity consumption is credited to the utility account at the applicable wholesale rate based on the approved <br />" Under NEM rulings by the CPUC (D-16-01-144, 1/28/16), all new PV customers shall be in an approved TOU <br />rate structure. https://www.cpuc.ca.gov/General.aspx?id=3800 <br />13 <br />2019-08-01 <br />318 <br />