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Impacts of Climate Change on Redwood City <br />Redwood City is one of the most vulnerable cities in California to sea level rise. With 3.3 feet of sea level rise, 59% <br />(8,308 of the City's 14,043 land acres) of the City's land would be vulnerable to flooding. This area currently houses <br />21,000 people, contains 568 commercial parcels, and nearly has $9 billion in assessed value. From the Port of <br />Redwood City, to Oracle, to Kaiser Permanente, it is imperative for the City to plan for and try to prevent this <br />cataclysmic damage. Most of this endangered acreage was historically natural wetlands. While a sizable portion of <br />wetlands have been preserved, notably Bair Island, the low-lying areas are vulnerable to sea level rise and <br />enhanced flooding. <br />Redwood City is not alone in its vulnerability to sea level rise. A coalition of local governments, public agencies, <br />non-profit organizations, and private companies have partnered with San Mateo County's Office of Sustainability to <br />launch the Sea Change SMC initiative. Redwood City is more likely to successfully adapt to sea level rise in this <br />coalition because any realistic solution will need cross -jurisdictional cooperation. Sea Change SMC has already <br />completed a countywide Sea Level Rise Vulnerability Assessment, which projected scenarios for Redwood City. In <br />2019, as a result of the Sea Change convenings, the cities and County of San Mateo came together and formed a <br />Flood and Sea Level Rise Resiliency District to address sea level rise, flooding, coastal erosion, and large-scale <br />storm water infrastructure improvements through integrated regional planning, investment, and project <br />implementation. To address the risk of sea level rise, and other climate change impacts, this Plan proposes that the <br />City develop a vulnerability assessment and a Climate Adaptation Plan consistent with the specific actions identified <br />in Appendix G: increasing public awareness; assessing vulnerability; establishing goals, criteria, and planning <br />principles; developing an Adaptation Plan, and conducting ongoing monitoring and adaptive management. <br />Increased Fire Risk <br />Fire risk is a reflection of accumulation of wood or fuels in a forest <br />combined with changes in the length and frequency of the fire season <br />due to warmer climate, changing precipitation, lower humidity, higher <br />winds, and soil drying from droughts. Fire suppression in the area has <br />increased as fuel reserves have built up in unmanaged forests and <br />woodlands. While wildfires in San Mateo County have not historically <br />been extensive, recent models of wildfire risk and climate change show <br />hotspots in the middle of the county. <br />Climate change is expected to increase the frequency, intensity, and <br />duration of wildfire events impacting San Mateo County. Wildfires can <br />claim lives, destroy property, force mass evacuations, and expose large <br />populations to unhealthy levels of smoke for days to weeks at a time. <br />Between 1995 and 2030, the model projects an increased risk of wildfire <br />in San Mateo County from nine to 13.4 percent. In addition, by 2070, the <br />projected burn area nearly doubles to 25 percent. Simulations of large <br />wildfires using statistical models developed for the Fourth California State <br />Climate Assessment29 show that the probability of a large fire—which <br />burns more than 1,000 acres – in San Mateo County increases rapidly <br />with a warming climate, with an eight -fold increase in the probability of a <br />large wildfire by 2070. By 2070, the chance that large wildfires or those <br />over 1,000 acres will occur increases to 4 percent per year. <br />Figure 6 shows the areas that are most at risk of wildfire in the future. <br />The "average percent burned area" is the percentage of a designated <br />area that is projected to burn over two 30 -year periods centered around <br />2030 and 2070. <br />Impact of Wildfires and Poor Air <br />Quality on People <br />a <br />• <br />Most Californians are not aware of <br />recent statistics that suggest that <br />California is home to the worst air quality <br />in the nation, with over 90 percent of <br />Californians breathing unhealthy air. <br />According to the California air resources <br />board, unhealthy levels of ozone (smog) <br />and particulate matter annually <br />contribute to 19,000 premature deaths <br />and 9,400 hospital admissions for <br />respiratory and cardiovascular disease. <br />Wildfires exacerbate the air quality <br />problems, causing temporary large <br />increases in outdoor airborne particles, <br />and substantial increases in gaseous air <br />pollutants such as carbon monoxide. <br />Socially vulnerable residents may be <br />more affected by wildfires if they have <br />existing health issues, less access to <br />social services and internet, and fewer <br />economic resources to respond. <br />City of Redwood City Climate Action Plan 28 <br />