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AgdaPkt 2021.02.08 Joint SA PFA
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AgdaPkt 2021.02.08 Joint SA PFA
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Last modified
2/11/2021 4:35:44 PM
Creation date
2/4/2021 4:26:17 PM
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CC Index
CC Index - Document Type
Agenda Packet
Meeting Type
Joint
Agency Type
City Council and Successor Agency and Public Financing Authority
Date
2/8/2021
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7.A. — Pa99R?AP9f36andum <br />Financial Review of Proposed Sequoia Station Development <br />Figure 2: Summary Sequoia Station Development Feasibility Analysis <br />$800 <br />$640 <br />$600 <br />$400 <br />$200 <br />$20 <br />$0 620 <br />($200) <br />($400) <br />($600) <br />($800) <br />$655$620 $620 <br />$291 <br />$35 <br />($329) <br />High Density Office High Density Office Lower Density <br />W / Housing Office <br />■ Residual Land Value Per Land Sq. Ft. <br />$620 <br />M <br />($99) <br />($719) <br />High Density <br />Housing <br />■ Site Acquisition and Improvement Costs per Land Sq. Ft. <br />■ Net Development Value per Land Sq. Ft. <br />Key Assumptions and Analysis <br />September 28, 2020 <br />Page 5 <br />$620 <br />$116 <br />■ 6 <br />($504) <br />Lower Density <br />Housing <br />As described above, this financial analysis compares the residual land value generated by five <br />development alternatives against the expected cost of acquiring the Sequoia station site <br />(currently owned by three separate entities) and preparing it for vertical development. EPS has <br />developed a financial model to estimate and compare these development alternatives using <br />readily available information and assumptions related to project valuation (e.g. likely lease and <br />occupancy rates, development costs, and return thresholds needed to attract capital). The <br />detailed assumptions and calculations are further described below. <br />Site Acquisition and Improvement <br />Before vertical development of any proposed land use alternative can proceed, the Sequoia <br />Station site will need to be acquired, largely demolished, and improved to accommodate a <br />substantial increase in density. As detailed in the Appendix, the total cost of site acquisition <br />and site preparation is estimated at about $326 million (or $620 per square foot). By way of <br />comparison, vacant or under-utilized land in the DTPP area currently sells for about $180 to $500 <br />per square foot. <br />Because Sequoia Station is and active and highly successful retail center, site control and <br />acquisition will require "buying out" an existing cash-flow. This cost is estimated based on the <br />capitalized value of the net operating income from the site. The estimate also includes and 'off <br />market premium" of 20 percent to reflect the additional incentive that will likely be needed to <br />create the sale (and to also account for the strong market position of the center and highly <br />desirable location of the site). It should also be noted, if existing leases do not expire during the <br />1:vIh -d r,, vo 21IIII=v2111121 dwo 11, �,= q�o III I.q-,aIII v1.1,bl.yI q- III-I.mos_za_2121do196 <br />
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