Laserfiche WebLink
<br />8A <br />Page 9 <br /> <br />Simply put, the state's total expenses exceed the resources it has available to spend. Whatever <br />fix the Governor and legislators may agree upon to balance the budget, a significant factor in the <br />state's deficit is mainly the shrinking state general fund revenues, exacerbated by deteriorating <br />economic conditions natio!'ally and worldwide. <br /> <br />The Department of Finance calculates a $31 billion discrepancy between the estimated revenues <br />for the budget years 2007-08,2008-09,2009-10, and actual revenues received. More than $17.7 <br />billion of that amount is attributable to declining personal income tax revenue, about half of which <br />is associated with reduced capital gains, the other half due to changing economic conditions. <br />About $5.9 billion results from a decline in sales and use tax revenue, caused by reduced <br />disposable income among taxpayers and fewer auto sales, as well as reduced transfers to <br />transportation funds due to lower forecasted gas prices. About $4.9 billion of the loss results from <br />reduced corporation franchise and income tax receipts. due to declining corporate profits. Another <br />$1.3 billion is due to declining property tax revenues. <br /> <br />Behind these cold numbers are three culprits: <br /> <br />. Job Losses. Between June and October 2008, the state lost 47,100 jobs - an average of <br />15,700 job losses per month, and a tripling of the 5,200 monthly job losses occurring in the <br />first five months of the year. While modest job gains were seen in health services, <br />government, leisure and hospitality, education, and natural resources and mining, job losses <br />occurred in major industry sectors such as trade, transportation, utilities, professional and <br />business services. manufacturing, construction, financial activities and the information sectors. <br />The state unemployment rate hit 8.2 percent in October, the highest since September 1994, <br />and the largest year-aver-year increase since December 1982. <br /> <br />. Construction Hit Hard. Residential permits were down 48 percent from October 2007 to <br />October 2008, as the fifth consecutive month-over decline hit the industry, recording the <br />lowest level of activity in decades. Single-family permits were down 44 percent, while multi- <br />family permitting was down 53 percent. Slowing office and retail construction led to <br />nonresidential construction permits falling 36 percent in October from a year earlier, making <br />the month the weakest since February 2004. <br /> <br />. Home Sales. Weakening home prices contributed to increase in the numbers of existing <br />home sales in October - more than twice the rate of sales posted a year earlier. However, the <br />median price of existing, single-family homes sold was 40 percent less than last year. <br /> <br />Need More Information? For more information on how California got to where it is today, please <br />view the following documents from the Department of Finance Web site: <br /> <br />. General Fund Workload Revenue Forecast <br />http://www.dof.ca. Qov/budaetlhistoricaI/2008-09/documents/G F Workload Rev. pdf <br />. Department of Finance Bulletin, December 2008 <br />http://www.dof.ca ,aov lfi nance bulletins/2008/December/documents/Dec-08 _ doc <br /> <br />Bipartisan Commission to Review California's Outdated Revenue Laws <br /> <br />On Oct. 30, 2008, Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger signed Executive Order S-12-08 to create the <br />bipartisan commission on the 21st Century Economy, tasked with reviewing California's 80 year- <br />old revenue-gathering laws and making recommendations on how to modernize them. The <br />commission consists of 12 members - six appointed by the Governor, three by the Speaker of <br />the Assembly, and three by the Senate President pro Tern. They will meet on Jan. 22 in San <br />Diego for the first time. The commission will deliver a report with recommendations on or before <br />April 15, following three consecutive meetings scheduled for Feb. 12 in Los Angeles, March 10 in <br />Berkeley, and April 9 in Davis. The meetings are open to the public. The commission will consider <br />how to: <br />. Establish a 21 st century tax structure that fits with state's 21 st century economy; <br />. Stabilize state revenues and reduce volatility; <br /> <br />3 <br />