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AgdaPkt 2009-05-18
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AgdaPkt 2009-05-18
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Last modified
6/17/2009 9:30:58 AM
Creation date
5/14/2009 4:02:00 PM
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Template:
CC Index
CC Index - Document Type
Agenda Packet
Meeting Type
Special
Agency Type
City Council and Redevelopment Agency
Date
5/18/2009
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<br /> <br />SA <br />Page 14 <br /> <br />This Is partly due to the rate .smoothing- policy adopted by the CalPERS Board In 2005 that <br />reduces rate volatility by spreading investment gains and losses over 15 years. This prevents <br />employer costs from going up or down dramatically after one or two good or bad years of <br />investment returns. The policy change was made at the behest of contracting employers who <br />wanted greater rate predictability from year to year. <br /> <br />The other factor is that there is a two-year lag between Investment performance and the impact <br />on employer rates. Your 2009-10 rates, are based on Investment returns for the fiscal year that <br />ended June 30, 2007, a year in which CalPERS investments gained 19.1 percent, well above our <br />actuarial target rate of 7.75 percent. <br /> <br />Our rate smoothing policy will minimize rate increases the following year (201 0-11) even though <br />the CalPERS pension fund suffered a 5.1' percent IOS8 in the year ended June 30. 2008, as the <br />recession began to take hold. In fact, most cities will likely see a rate decrease of less than 0.1 <br />percent based on investment returns alone. However, the demographic experience of your plan <br />may result In a slight net Increase In rates. <br /> <br />Rates for 2011-12 are less certain. We will have a better picture of what employer rates will look <br />like after June 30, 2009, when we calculate returns for the full 12 months of this fiscal year. We <br />do know that a loss of 20 percent or more could mean 8 rate Increase of between 2 and 5 percent <br />of payroll, as mentioned In a November 2008 Circular Letter to employers from our Chief Actuary <br />Ron Seeling. <br /> <br />We are very mindful of your dilemma and share your concerns. I can promise you that CalPERS <br />is committed to working with local public agency employers to provide you with the tool~ and <br />technical assistance to fully understand how our investment returns will affect your valuations and <br />retirement contributions In the future. Our chief actuary is analyzing options for mitigating the <br />Impact on city budgets. <br /> <br />I also want to tell you about the actions we are taking to mitigate the effects of the economic crisis <br />on our Investment portfolio. <br /> <br />We are proactively analyzing all asset classes and taking a disciplined Investment strategy going <br />forward. Our Investment staff has taken action to maximize investment opportunities when the <br />economy and financial markets rebound. Our Board widened our asset allocation target ranges <br />for stocks, bonds, real estate, and private equity, which gives us more flexibility to manage our <br />investment portfolio during these unusual times. It means we don't have to sell assets to stay <br />within rigid target allocations that might result in Investment losses. <br /> <br />In our real estate portfolio, we have'taken a number of steps to calculate the real value of our <br />holdings, analyze the capital structure, restructure debt. and reduce leverage. We are looking at <br />opportunities to partiCipate In the Troubled Asset Relief Program (T ARP) developed by the <br />federal government to purchase assets and equity from financial Institutions In order to strengthen <br />the financial services sector. And we are ramping up our Inflation-linked asset class to invest in <br />infrastructure, commodities, and energy"related businesses. <br /> <br />Of course, market reform is also at the top of our agenda. We recently teamed up with other <br />pension funds representing $900 billion in assets to develop regulatory principles aimed at <br />restoring tNst in global capital markets. In addition, our Board has established a new ad hoc <br />committee to ensure the effectiveness of our risk management architecture and Infrastructure. <br /> <br />Finally, It Is important to remember that CalPERS is a long-tenn Investor. OUr investment strategy <br />Is designed to weather periodic financial storms. Over the past 75 years, CalPERS has survived <br />numerous market downturns such as the 1987 stock market c;rash and the recession of 1990. <br />During the 2001 recession, our pension fund lost $50 billion on paper, but we rebounded with a <br />gain of $120 billion over the next four years. <br /> <br />While the past year has been trying for cities that contract with us for retirement benefits, I am <br />optimistic that by working together we will emerge in good shape. No one. can predict how long It <br />will take for markets to recover, but we are doing everything possible to ensure that we are <br /> <br />5 <br />
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