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6.A. - Page 2 of 49 <br />ANALYSIS <br />The attached investment report indicates that as of December 31, 2020, funds (excluding cash with fiscal <br />agents) from all sources were producing an annual earnings rate of 1.59%, down from 1.78% as of <br />September 30, 2020. The market value of the portfolio as of December 31 was $284,543,649, up from <br />$265,113,111 as of September 30, 2020. This includes the funds held in the San Mateo County Treasurer's <br />investment pool and with the State Treasurer's investment pool. All of these investments comply with the <br />City's investment policy. The City has sufficient liquid resources available to meet expenditure <br />requirements for the next six months. <br />The portion of the City's portfolio that is managed by PFM has a total market value of $161,273,861, down <br />from $161,542,427 as of September 30, 2020. As of December 31, the portfolio was earning an annual <br />yield at cost of 1.77%, down from 1.88% as of September 30, and the yield at market was 0.38%, down <br />from .42% as of September 30. The average maturity of the portfolio was 2.71 years, down from 2.78 <br />years as of September 30. <br />The market benchmark, selected with consultation from the City Council Finance/Audit Subcommittee, is <br />the Bank of America Merrill Lynch (BofA ML) 1-5 year U.S. Treasury Index. Below is a table summarizing <br />the City's portfolio performance compared to the benchmark, for the period ending December 31, 2020. <br />In the fourth quarter of 2020, U.S. economic conditions were impacted by the following: a resurgence in <br />global coronavirus cases causing the reintroduction of lockdown measures; expedited vaccine approval <br />initiatives but challenging logistics surrounding mass inoculation; a contentious U.S. presidential election <br />resulting in the election of President Joe Biden; months of filibustering over a second stimulus package <br />that eventually passed in December; and moderating labor market and consumer spending data. The <br />economic outlook remains uncertain, between the pace and efficacy of the global vaccine rollout and a <br />major resurgence of virus cases. Political turmoil in the U.S. adds to the unpredictability, but, remarkably, <br />the markets have largely discounted the downside. Underlying the low market volatility is confidence in <br />the Federal Reserve (Fed) and global central banks that have supported economic stability and expansion. <br />The Fed reaffirmed its commitment to utilize the full scope of its monetary authority until a full economic <br />recovery is achieved. The Fed kept short-term rates in their current range of 0.00% to 0.25% and <br />committed to continue its plans to buy $80 billion in Treasury securities and $40 billion in agency <br />mortgage-backed securities (MBS) monthly. Due to the economic progress as of December 2020, the Fed <br />also released more optimistic expectations for 2021, lowering its unemployment rate projection to 5.0% <br />by year-end and raising its forecast for real gross domestic product (GDP) to 4.2% for 2021. <br />Page 2 of 5 <br />City of Redwood City 1017 Middlefield Road, Redwood City, CA. 94063 Tel: 650-780-7000 www.redwoodcity.ore <br />10 <br />