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<br /> <br />2021 Multijurisdictional Local Hazard Mitigation Plan <br /> <br />that interfaces a wildfire hazard severity zone. In addition, the planning partners’ general plans include policies <br />that address managing development in relative fire hazard zones. The planning area is well equipped with these <br />tools, and this planning process has asked each planning partner to assess its capabilities with regards to the tools. <br />As the planning area experiences future growth, it is anticipated that the exposure to this hazard will remain as <br />assessed or even decrease over time due to these capabilities. <br /> <br />16.6 SCENARIO <br />A major wildfire in the planning area might begin with a wet spring, adding to fuels already present on the forest <br />floor. Flashy fuels would build throughout the spring. The summer could see the onset of insect infestation. A dry <br />summer could follow the wet spring, exacerbated by dry hot winds. Carelessness with combustible materials or a <br />tossed lit cigarette, or a sudden lightning storm could trigger a multitude of small isolated fires. <br /> <br />The embers from these smaller fires could be carried miles by hot, dry winds. The deposition zone for these <br />embers could be deep in forested areas. Fires that start in flat areas move slower, but wind still pushes them. It is <br />not unusual for a wildfire pushed by wind to burn the ground fuel and later climb into the crown and reverse its <br />track. This is one of many ways that fires can escape containment, typically during periods when response <br />capabilities are overwhelmed. These new small fires would most likely merge. Suppression resources would be <br />redirected from protecting the natural resources to saving more remote subdivisions. <br /> <br />The worst-case scenario would include an active fire season throughout the American west, spreading resources <br />thin. Firefighting teams would be exhausted or unavailable. Many federal assets would be responding to other <br />fires that started earlier in the season. <br /> <br />To further complicate the problem, heavy rains could follow, causing flooding and landslides and releasing tons <br />of sediment into rivers, permanently changing floodplains and damaging sensitive habitat and riparian areas. Such <br />a fire followed by rain could release millions of cubic yards of sediment into streams for years, creating new <br />floodplains and changing existing ones. With the forests removed from the watershed, stream flows could easily <br />double. Floods that could be expected every 50 years may occur every couple of years. With the streambeds <br />unable to carry the increased discharge because of increased sediment, the floodplains and floodplain elevations <br />would increase. <br /> <br />16.7 ISSUES <br />The major issues for wildfire are the following: <br /> Public education and outreach to people living in or near the fire hazard zones should include information <br />about and assistance with mitigation actions such as defensible space and advance identification of <br />evacuation routes and safe zones. <br /> Wildfires could cause landslides as a secondary natural hazard. <br /> Climate change could affect the wildfire hazard. <br /> Future growth into interface areas should continue to be managed. <br /> Area fire districts need to continue to train on wildland-urban interface events. <br /> Vegetation management activities should include enhancement through expansion of the target areas as <br />well as additional resources. <br /> <br /> <br />16-14