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<br /> <br />Risk Assessment Methodology <br /> <br /> Earthquake—A Level 2 analysis was performed to assess earthquake exposure and vulnerability for four <br />scenario events and one probabilistic event: <br /> A Magnitude-6.93 event on the Butano Fault with an epicenter 17.5 miles south of Redwood City <br /> A Magnitude-7.14 event on the Monte Vista Shannon Fault with an epicenter 16 miles south- <br />southeast of Redwood City <br /> A Magnitude-7.38 event on the San Andreas Fault with an epicenter 4 miles west of Belmont <br /> A Magnitude-7.44 event on the San Gregorio Fault with an epicenter 4 miles south of Half Moon Bay <br /> The standard Hazus 100-year probabilistic event <br /> <br />Sea Level Rise, Landslide/Mass Movements, Severe Weather, and Wildfire <br />Historical datasets were not adequate to model future losses for these hazards of concern. However, areas and <br />inventory susceptible to some of the hazards of concern were mapped by other means to evaluate exposure. A <br />qualitative analysis was conducted for other hazards using the best available data and professional judgment. <br /> <br />Drought <br />The risk assessment methodologies used for this update focus on damage to structures. Because drought does not <br />impact structures, the risk assessment for this hazard was more limited and qualitative than the assessment for the <br />other hazards of concern. <br /> <br />7.3 SOURCES OF DATA USED IN MODELING AND EXPOSURE ANALYSES <br /> <br />7.3.1 Building and Cost Data <br />Replacement cost is the cost to replace the entire structure with one of equal quality and utility. Replacement cost <br />is based on industry-standard cost-estimation models published in the 2020 edition of RS Means Square Foot <br />Costs. It is calculated using the RS Means square foot cost for a structure, which is based on the Hazus occupancy <br />class (i.e., multi-family residential or commercial retail trade), multiplied by the square footage of the structure. <br />The construction class and number of stories for single-family residential structures also factor into determining <br />the square foot costs. <br /> <br />Replacement cost values and detailed structure information derived from parcel and building footprint data were <br />loaded into Hazus. When available, an updated inventory was used in place of the Hazus defaults for critical <br />facilities and infrastructure. <br /> <br />7.3.2 Hazus Data Inputs <br />The following hazard datasets were used for the Hazus Level 2 analysis conducted for the risk assessment: <br /> Flood—The effective Digital Flood Insurance Rate Map (DFIRM) for the planning area was used to <br />delineate flood hazard areas and estimate potential losses from the FEMA 1-percent-annual chance and <br />0.2-percent-annual-chance (100- and 500-year) flood events. Using the DFIRM floodplain boundaries and <br />base flood (1-percent-annual chance flood) elevation information, and the County’s 5-foot digital <br />elevation model data, flood depth grids were generated and integrated into the Hazus model. <br /> Dam Failure—Dam failure inundation area boundaries and depth grids for were provided by the <br />California Department of Water Resources for 13 dams: Bear Gulch, Coastways, Crocker, Emerald <br />Lake 1 Lower, Felt Lake, Laurel Creek, Lower Crystal Springs, Notre Dame, Pilarcitos, Pomponio <br /> <br /> <br />7-5