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Tier 2 Drought Implementation Plan <br />July 2024 Model Concept - Efficient Res Allocation + Non-Res Base Allocation + Seasonal Allocation + Base SFPUC Purchases/ISG-Based Allocation - Variable Base Year <br />Model Set-up/Assumptions Base Years <br />Allocation Year/Projection Year FY24-25 Non-Drought Year 1 FY18-19 <br />Tier 1 Shortage Allocation (mgd)114.20 Non-Drought Year 2 FY19-20 <br />Base Period SFPUC Purchases (mgd)134.34 Non-Drought Year 3 FY20-21 <br />Overall Reduction from Base Period <br />Required -15.0% <br />SFPUC Maximum Cutback Factor -22.5%Error Message(s) (if applicable) <br />SFPUC Minimum Cutback Factor -5.0% <br />Non-Residential Base Allocation %92.5% <br />Step 5 Reserved % of Remaining Tier <br />1 Allocation (less Step 3 Reserved) <br />after Step 2 <br />50% <br />Unreserved % of Remaining Tier 1 <br />Allocation (less Step 3 Reserved and <br />Step 5 Reserved) After Step 2 <br />50% <br />Seasonal Allocation %7.9% <br />Step 5 ISG Weighting 33% <br />Step 5 Base SFPUC Purchases <br />Weighting 67% <br />Residential Efficient Allocation (R- <br />GPCD)47.0 <br />Adjustment % for SFPUC Minimum <br />Cutback, if efficient residential <br />allocation is greater than minimum <br />cutback <br />95% <br />Effective Date for Model Run (update for <br />testing only)12/16/2024 <br />Instructions: <br />1. Adjust aqua cells in OVERVIEW tab to adjust model <br />parameters. If there are errors in the inputs, an error <br />message will appear in Columns E-F. <br />2. View allocation calculations and results in "Tier 2 <br />Allocation" and "Agency Charts" tabs. <br />Calculation Steps for July 2024 Model Concept: <br />0. SFPUC Minimum Cutback <br />a. Calculate Minimum Cutback from Lesser of Base Period SFPUC Purchases and ISG (Lesser ofBase Period SFPUC Purchases and ISG × [1+SFPUC Minimum Cutback Factor]) <br />b. Calculate Efficient Residential Allocation (population × per capita allocation × % SFPUC <br />reliance)c. Determine if Minimum Cutback is greater than the Efficient Residential Allocation <br />d. If Efficient Residential Allocation is greater than the Minimum Cutback, an agency's cutbackmay be no less than 5% <br />1. Efficient Residential Allocationa. Calculate Efficient Residential Allocation (population × per capita allocation) <br />b. Account for % SFPUC Reliancec. Provide Efficient Residential Allocation <br />2. Non-Residential Base Allocationa. Incorporate Estimated % Indoor Use (see glossary for definition and calculation of % Indoor Use) <br />b. Incorporate % Non-Residential Usec. Calculate Non-Residential Base Allocation (% Indoor Use × % Non-Residential Use × Base <br />Period SFPUC Purchases × Non-Residential Indoor Allocation %)d. Add Non-Residential Base Allocation to the Step 1 Allocation <br />3. Calculate Potential SFPUC Maximum Cutback Needa.Calculate SFPUC Maximum Cutback (Base Period SFPUC Purchases × [1+ SFPUC Maximum <br />Cutback Factor])b. Reserve the sum of the potential SFPUC Maximum Cutback need for Step 5 (Maximum Cutback <br />Reserve)4. Seasonal Allocation <br />a. Determine % Seasonal Use (1 -% Indoor Use)b. Calculate seasonal SFPUC Purchases (Base Period SFPUC Purchases × % Seasonal Use) <br />c. Calculate Seasonal Allocation (seasonal SFPUC Purchases × Seasonal Allocation %)d. Add the Seasonal Allocation to the Step 2 Allocation <br />5. Base Period/ISG-Based Allocationa. Calculate weighted average of Base Period SFPUC Purchases and ISG, up to Minimum Cutback <br />b. Calculate Weighted Share of total Tier 1 Allocation to Wholesale Customers (agency weightedaverage Base Period SFPUC Purchases/ISG ÷ total Wholesale Customer weighted average × Tier 1 <br />Allocation)c. Calculate the gap between Step 4 allocation and the lesser of 1) weighted share, or 2) Minimum <br />Cutbackd. Allocate remaining supplies, except Maximum Cutback Reserve, among agencies with a gap, <br />proportionately to gap, up to the Minimum Cutbacke. Confirm allocation meets Maximum Cutback; allocate water from Maximum Cutback Reserve <br />up to Maximum Cutbackf. Allocate remaining supplies among agencies with a gap, proportionately to gap, up to the <br />Minimum Cutback <br />Attachment C: Example of Tier 2 Plan Excel-Based Model Calculations <br />Page 15 of 19ATTY/RESO.0092/CC RESO APPROVING TIER 2 DROUGHT RESPONSE IMPLEMENTATION PLAN (WATER SUPPLY AGREEMENT) - EXHIBIT A REV: 08-18-25 MI Page 17 of 21