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AgdaPkt 2025.10.13 Joint SA PFA
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AgdaPkt 2025.10.13 Joint SA PFA
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10/14/2025 2:44:53 PM
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CC Index
CC Index - Document Type
Agenda Packet
Meeting Type
Regular
Agency Type
City Council
Date
10/13/2025
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<br />Page 6 <br />Typical Building Remodel Cost <br />As a point of comparison against the investment thresholds described above, EPS reviewed <br />Redwood City building permit data for 2019 through 2024. As summarized in Table 4, permit <br />records indicate a median project cost of $23 per square foot (interquartile range roughly $13 <br />per square foot at the 25th percentile to $39 per square foot at the 75th percentile), with 75 <br />percent of permits below $34 per square foot. At the upper end, the 99th percentile across the <br />full period is $152 per square foot, with annual 99th-percentile values ranging from $73 to $281 <br />per square foot. <br /> <br />Table 4. Distribution of Redwood City Remodel Costs per Square Foot, 2019–2024 <br />Cost of Improvements <br /> Average 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 <br />Minimum $7 $9 $2 $6 $8 $7 $7 <br />25th Percentile $13 $15 $11 $13 $18 $10 $11 <br />Median $23 $31 $21 $23 $23 $21 $19 <br />75th Percentile $39 $35 $40 $30 $36 $49 $42 <br />99th Percentile $152 $101 $143 $175 $281 $136 $73 <br />Maximum $171 $113 $156 $250 $281 $150 $75 <br /> <br />It is important to note that permit valuation is a proxy and not a perfect measure of total project <br />cost. While valuations technically include both hard and soft costs, they are frequently <br />underreported by applicants. In addition, the data may obscure scope by aggregating multiple <br />types of work into a single record. For this analysis, EPS isolated permits explicitly reported as <br />multi-unit projects; however, it is possible that some multi- unit jobs were not coded as such, <br />which could bias results downward. Projects also differ in scope intensity (e.g., systems, kitchens, <br />code compliance), so dispersion is expected even when normalized by square foot. <br /> <br />To mitigate these issues, EPS emphasizes medians and percentiles (rather than means), reviews <br />potential outliers, and interprets cost per square foot results in conjunction with scenario <br />modeling and external benchmarks. Despite these imperfections, the central tendency of permits <br />remains well below the modeled break-even thresholds, and even the 99th-percentile values are <br />generally at or below the “No Relocation Cost” threshold ($220 per square foot) and near the <br />“High Relocation Cost” threshold ($180 per square foot). This pattern supports the conclusion <br />that most remodels are feasible under the TPA framework, with only occasional, atypically broad <br />scopes approaching infeasibility. <br />As an additional anchor, Marshall & Swift replacement-cost benchmarks for the Peninsula <br />indicate order-of-magnitude new-build hard costs of roughly $266/SF for townhome- style <br />product and about $380/SF for podium multifamily (class/quality and exclusions apply). Relative <br />to these levels, EPS’s rehab feasibility thresholds of $220/SF (no displacement) and $180/SF <br />(with displacement and relocation) sit below typical replacement cost for new construction. <br />This relationship is consistent with observed practice: most economically rational rehab projects <br />that are feasible remain well below full replacement-cost benchmarks. This context helps explain <br />why the extreme tail of the permit distribution is sparse: very high-intensity scopes are relatively <br />rare and, when encountered, are often more logically addressed as replacement projects. <br />9.A. - Page 80 of 84 <br />185
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