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9•A <br />Reasons for Rate Increases <br />The rate increases will enable the City to meet its projected annual operating and capital <br />revenue requirements through 2011 / C). Chart 1 shows City expenses by category for the <br />next 10 years. Chart 2 breaks down tht increase in annual costs from 2002/03 - 2011/12 <br />by component. The rate increases are needed for a number of reasons including: <br />• About 61% of total projected cost increases through 2011 /12 are due to an increase in <br />wholesale water costs. Chart 3 shows Wholesale water rates from the SFPUC are <br />projected to increase 41% over the next two years and almost triple by 2011 /12 in <br />order to provide financing payments for $3 to $4 billion of capital improvements to <br />the Hetch Hetchy water system. These rate increases, along with additional water <br />purchases for growth, are projected to increase the City's operating expenses by about <br />$8.8 million through 2011/12. Water costs would be substantially higher without the <br />recycling project since wholesale recycled water costs less than potable water. <br />• The water enterprise will incur additional costs for debt service payments needed to <br />finance the recycled water project. The $3.1 million in new annual debt service <br />payments account for about 21 % of total cost increases through 2011/12. <br />• Operating and maintenance costs for the new recycled water system are projected to <br />phase in to $300,000 and escalate at the annual rate of 3% thereafter, accounting for <br />about 2.5% of total new expenses over the financial planning horizon. <br />• Expenditures for an active conservation program are projected at $500,000 per year <br />beginning 2003/04 and escalate at the annual rate of 3% thereafter. These costs <br />account for about 3.0% of total water enterprise cost increases through 2011/12. <br />• Cost inflation is projected to increase general operating expenses by $1.8 million, <br />accounting for about 12.6% of total enterprise cost increases through 2011/12. <br />Projected Rate Implementation and Impacts <br />The required rate increases will be applied to the existing rate structure according the <br />City Council's guiding principles for the water enterprise. This will result in rate impacts <br />that vary based on customer class and consumption. Chart 4 provides a good indication <br />of the order -of- magnitude impacts that will be faced by an average single family <br />residence using 22 ccf of water in a bi- monthly billing period. <br />Financial Impacts of a Drought <br />Without a reliable alternative source of supply and an active conservation program, the <br />City could face an extreme financial burden from a drought. Droughts typically result in: <br />a. higher wholesale water costs due to increased drought rates, and <br />b. revenue shortfalls due to a decrease in water sales. <br />The total financial impact of a moderate drought coupled with an attainable level of <br />conservation is estimated at $8 - $12 million per year, assuming construction of the <br />recommended recycling project coupled with passive conservation. The City can further <br />reduce its financial exposure to drought by implementing a more aggressive active <br />conservation program. <br />Water Financing Plan ES -6 02/24/03 <br />