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<br />small degree, and reduce debt service payments, it would also result in a corresponding <br />decrease in interest earnings. However, if the City collects more Facilities Fees than <br />proj ected over the next few years, the City should consider using these fees to directly <br />fund proj ects and there by reduce the amount of bond financing needed. <br /> <br />Cash Flow Projections <br /> <br />Cash flow proj ections were developed in order to estimate the long-term revenue <br />requirements of the water enterprise and to determine necessary water rate adjustments. <br />Bartle Wells Associates evaluated a number of financing scenarios. The projections <br />developed in this report are based on the best information currently available and also <br />incorporate a number of policy, financing, and other assumptions which are detailed on <br />the financing plan tables. <br /> <br />Financial projections were developed for a number of other hypothetical scenarios. <br />These alternative projections are included in the appendix to this report. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />No Recycled Water Project - The City has been able to purchase adequate water <br />supply to meet its overdraft demands at standard wholesale water rates due to a <br />temporary surplus of SFPUC water capacity. Many other Bay Area Water Supply <br />and Conservation Agency (BA WSCA) agencies are not yet using their full supply <br />assurance. However, as regional demand increases, the unused water supply <br />available to Redwood City will evaporate. According to recent projections, the <br />BA WSCA water demands will hit full capacity of 184 million gallons per day (mgd) <br />in 2007-2010. The financial projections developed for this alternative assume <br />historical drought rate penalties would apply to water use over the City's supply <br />assurance when regional demand on the SFPU C system reaches full capacity. <br />According to the projections, long term rate increases would be higher without the <br />recycled water project (see Appendix A). <br /> <br />Impact of Recycled Water Project - In order to isolate the impact of the recycled <br />water project, including capital and operating costs, financial projections were <br />developed assuming no future SFPUC wholesale rate increases and no increases to <br />the City's operating and maintenance costs. The projections indicate that the <br />recycled water project could be financed with a series of five 6% rate adjustments <br />over the nextfive years (see Appendix B). <br /> <br />Award of $5 Million Grant in Jan-O6 - Based on these projections, a $5 million <br />grant in January 2006 would decrease debt service by approximately $350,000 and <br />result in approximately 2% lower rate adjustments (see Appendix C). <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />Water Rate Projections <br />The cash flow projections indicate the need for a series of three consecutive 12% rate <br />increases beginning July 1,2005, followed by steady annual 6.5% rate increases through <br />2014/15. The increases will enable Redwood City to: <br />a. fully fund the water enterprise's operating and capital programs, including <br />continuation of the City's active conservation program and the recycled water <br />project, <br /> <br />Water Financing Plan <br /> <br />4 <br /> <br />December 2004 <br />