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AgdaPkt 2012-02-13
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AgdaPkt 2012-02-13
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Last modified
7/2/2012 2:23:27 PM
Creation date
2/9/2012 4:35:34 PM
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Template:
CC Index
CC Index - Document Type
Agenda Packet
Meeting Type
Regular
Agency Type
City Council
Date
2/13/2012
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8. B. - Page 182 <br /> I�� calcL�lating the 70 year exposL�re dose atid ca��cer rislc, sta�ldard BAAQIVID methods are <br /> used�. As discussed in the Final EIR (Response 0-41, page 62), the BAAQNID Health Risk <br /> Screeiung Analysis (HRSA) gL�idelines specify that "where a su�gle ca��cer risk value for a <br /> residential receptor is needed or pn�dent for risk ma�7agement decision-mal�ing, the potential <br /> ca�lcer rislc estimate for the inhalation exposure pathway be based on the breathulg <br /> representing the gp percentile valL�e of the breatlung rate ra�lge of values (302 Ukg-day)". <br /> Thus, using BAAQMD methods, the 70 year exposL�re dose shoL�ld be calculated using the <br /> 80 percentile value of the breathing rate. <br /> Had BAAQIVID intended to use child breathing rates for the first 16 years of exposure in the <br /> yea�-by-year calculations described above, the child breatlung rate would have been <br /> incoiporated u�to the calculations for the a�u�ual SWF weighted emission rate for each of the <br /> first 16 years and the adi�lt breathulg rate for the remainder of the 70 year period. As noted <br /> above, however, the 70 year exposure dose is calculated usu7g the 8p percentile vali�e of the <br /> adult breathing rate over the entire 70 year period. <br /> For the City's a��alysis of cancer rislcs from roadways, a simplified calcl�lation was L�sed that <br /> is consistent with the BAAQMD inethod which overestiinates the potential ca�lcer risks. <br /> Specifically, r«tlier tliafi c�aleul�ite ro«�liv«y TAC emissions for each ye«r over « 70 year <br /> perio�l, efyiissions ivere c�cicul�ate�l by the City for fou� ficture ye�ars ivitliin the 70 ye�a� <br /> perio�l (201=1, 201�, 2020, afi�1202�). Emissions for 2014 were used to represent the <br /> enussions during 2014, enussions for 2015 were used to represent enussions during the <br /> period from 2015 to 2019, enussions for 2020 were used to represent enussions during the <br /> period from 2020 to 2024, a��d enussions from 2025 were used to represent enussions from <br /> 2025 L�ntil the end of the 70 year period. These enussions for each time period were then <br /> used ul the air dispersion model, along with the estimated traffic volumes, to calculate <br /> a�erage TAC concentrations over fl�e periods of time represented by the enussions <br /> calculations. These concentrations were then used to calcL�late exposure doses for each time <br /> period, which were then mi�ltiplied by the period-specific SWFs, and the ca�lcer potency <br /> factor to obtain the ca�lcer rislc contribution for each period. Ca�lcer risks from each time <br /> period were then sununed to obtain a total 70 year ca�lcer rislc. <br /> Since vehicle einissions, particL�larly from diesel vehicles, a�e expected to decrease fromyear <br /> to year in the futl�re, use of these periodic enussions will overestimate the actual average <br /> enussions during the period between the years with calculated enussions. For example, in the <br /> City's calculations for the contribL�tion to the total 70 yea� ca�lcer risk between 2015 and <br /> 2019, the emission rate froin 2015 was nsed to represent the einissions for eveiy year in this <br /> period. Whereas, it is expected that the actual emissions, if calculated on a year-by-year <br /> basis during tlus time period, would decrease between 2015 a��d 2019 rather than be constant <br /> at the 2015 level as assLUlled by the City and the associated ca�lcer risks for this time period <br /> woL�ld actually be lower tha�1 what was reported by the City. Therefore, the City i�sed a <br /> conservative approach that is consistent with the BAAQMD methods, but likely resL�lts in an <br /> overall higher estimate of potential ca��cer risks tha�� if the calculations were performed on a <br /> yea�-by-year basis. <br /> ' BAAQNID. 2011. Recommended Methods for Screeiuna and Modelin� Local Risks and Hazards. Bay Area Air <br /> Qualin-• Management Disriict. Ma��, 2011, page 88. <br /> � BAAQNID. 2010. BAAQNID Air To�ics NSR Pro�am, Health Risl� Screeiun� Ai�l��sis (HSRA) Guidelines. <br /> Ba� Area Air Qt�alin- Management District January, 2010, page 2. <br /> 2580 El Cainino Real Residenrial Project 1� Response to Conmients Recei��ed on Final EIR <br /> Cin� of Red��ood Cin� Jannai� 2012 <br />
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