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6.13. - Page 24 of 39 <br />!( � KennedyJenks <br />Task 1: Reservoir Water Augmentation (RWA) Analysis <br />1.1 Develop Key Decision Metrics <br />Key decision metrics will be developed to compare RWA and DPR alternatives. Criteria, numeric scoring <br />and weightings will be based on input from PREP Parties to rank alternatives considered. Metrics may <br />include capital/O&M costs, regulatory oversight, health safeguards, monitoring, implementation timing, <br />social and environmental considerations and other risks and benefits, etc. Criteria would be qualitative in <br />nature, and may be "scored" based on the degree to which the alternative meets each metric. Scoring <br />will be mostly qualitative in nature. Quantitative metrics will include items such as capital costs, unit <br />costs, water delivered and energy. Weightings may represent themes or priorities (i.e. low cost option or <br />maximize new supply). The decision metrics will be defined as part of this task and applied consistently to <br />RWA and DPR alternatives evaluated in Tasks 1 and 2, respectively. Existing metrics and definitions from <br />other Bay Area programs, like the Bay Area Regional Reliability (BARR) ARR Drought Mitigation Measures, <br />will be used as a guide where appropriate. <br />Assumptions: Costs for RWA alternatives will be based on the engineer's opinion of probable costs <br />developed for Phase 2. Costs will remain at a Class 5 level', representing planning to feasibility level <br />information with an estimated accuracy range between -30 percent and +50 percent. Refinements will be <br />made, as appropriate. Assumptions and omissions in the cost will be clearly identified for all alternatives. <br />Selection of decision criteria will be discussed with the Parties during Webinar #1. <br />Deliverable: Summary tables describing criteria, scoring guidelines, weighting factors to be applied to <br />rankings alternatives in Task 1.7 and Task 2.4, for RWA and DPR respectively, which will be incorporated <br />into the Phase 3 Study in (Task 3). <br />1.2 Define Flow Regime Scenarios <br />This task will identify potential flow regime scenarios to reflect a range of hydrologic conditions and <br />implications on project yield. A 6 -year hydrologic period will be selected to showcase a range of normal <br />to critically dry operations. Initial discussions will look at up to 5 scenarios for selecting what year types <br />to include. Two scenarios will move forward that includes wet and dry years (but may not represent <br />consecutive historic years) and will represent modeling years to use throughout the analysis. Bookend <br />scenarios may include, but not be limited to the following: <br />1) A 6 -year drought, which would show maximum benefit <br />2) A 5 -year normal/wet period with 1 year dry, which would show the minimum benefit <br />The scenarios will incorporate reduced purified water production assumptions to dial down operations in <br />wet and normal years and determine implications on project yield. <br />' Based on the AACE cost estimated classification system. A Class 5 estimate represents concept screening level <br />using methodologies based on factored capacities, judgement or analogy. For further description see <br />https://www.costengineering.eu/Downloads/articles/AACE CLASSIFICATION SYSTEM.pdf <br />Page 2 <br />46 <br />ATTY/AGR.2020.216/MOA- SVCW, SFPUC, BAWSCA, Cal -Water, City of San Mateo (Page 21 of 36) <br />