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6.A. - Page 52 of 251 <br />Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Emissions Inventories <br />• "Business -as -usual" (BAU) emissions — This projection represents the emissions expected if the 2015 <br />patterns of travel, energy and water consumption, and waste generation/disposal were continued throughout <br />time. This projection factors in the expected rate of City population and job growth through 2030. Under the <br />BAU scenario, Redwood City emissions are projected to increase by 14.5 percent in 2030 (85,868 MTCO2e), <br />relative to 2015. <br />• Adjusted forecast (State measures plus PCE) — This projection incorporates the same factors as the BAU, <br />but also includes key State policies such as clean car standards, renewable portfolio standard, zero net <br />energy building, and organics recycling. It also includes the effect of Peninsula Clean Energy (PCE) operating <br />in San Mateo County. Switching from PG&E to PCE in 2017 gave Redwood City an initial 55,538 MTCO2e <br />reduction in energy emissions by providing a cleaner fuel mix for energy generation than the State provided. <br />By 2045, the Renewable Portfolio Standard will have closed that gap by forcing all electricity providers to offer <br />a similarly clean mix of energy. <br />• CAP reduction measures — This is the reduction necessary to reach the 2030 goal. In this CAP, Redwood <br />City is committing to take the actions need to meet this target. Those actions are described in Chapter 6: <br />Strategies and Actions. Emissions are projected to decrease 51.4 percent (365,856 MTCO2e) by 2030. <br />Figure 12. Redwood City GHG Reduction Goal (50% below 2005 Levels by 2030) <br />800,000 <br />700,000 <br />640,161 677,044 <br />591,176 -----' — <br />600,000 <br />--------------------���------== •--— — — —— — —— 544,137 <br />500,000- 4 - <br />`�� 483,074 <br />N <br />O �. 428,031 <br />W 400,000 <br />i <br />-------------------------------------- —~== 326,482 <br />300,000 <br />200,000 <br />100,000 <br />01 Ti <br />2005 2010 2015 2020 <br />2025 2030 <br />Historical Emissions <br />--- BAU Projections <br />--- BAU Projections w/ <br />State Measures <br />BAU Projections w/ <br />State Measures + PCE <br />- - - 2020 Target: 15% <br />Below 2005 <br />- - - 2030 Target: 49% <br />Below 2005 <br />--- Projected Reduction <br />Path <br />City of Redwood City Climate Action Plan 41 <br />357 <br />