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<br /> <br />4 <br /> <br />The reliability of the SFPUC RWS supply is highly dependent on the assumption of whether or not the 2018 Bay- <br />Delta Plan Amendment is implemented. The Bay-Delta Plan Amendment was adopted in December 2018 by the <br />State Water Resources Control Board (SWRCB) to establish water quality objectives to maintain the health of <br />the Bay-Delta ecosystem. The adopted Bay-Delta Plan Amendment was developed with the stated goal of <br />increasing salmonid populations in three San Joaquin River tributaries (the Stanislaus, Merced, and Tuolumne <br />Rivers) and the Bay-Delta. The Bay-Delta Plan Amendment requires the release of 40 percent of the “unimpaired <br />flow” on the three tributaries from February through June in every year type, whether wet, normal, dry, or <br />critically dry. The implementation of the Bay-Delta Plan Amendment significantly impacts the SFPUC RWS supply <br />reliability in dry years; however, the actual implementation of the Bay-Delta Plan Amendment is uncertain, as <br />further explained in this WSA. <br /> <br />Because of the uncertainties surrounding the implementation of the Bay-Delta Plan Amendment, this WSA <br />presents findings for two scenarios, one assuming the Bay-Delta Plan Amendment is implemented and one <br />assuming that the Bay-Delta Plan Amendment is not implemented. <br /> <br />Under the scenario where it is assumed the Bay-Delta Plan Amendment is implemented, the total projected <br />water supplies determined to be available for the Proposed Project in normal years will meet the projected <br />water demand associated with the Proposed Project, in addition to the City’s existing and planned future uses <br />through 2045. However, with the implementation of the Bay-Delta Plan Amendment, significant supply shortfalls <br />are projected in dry years for agencies that receive water supplies from the SFPUC RWS, as well as other agencies <br />whose water supplies would be affected by the Amendment. For the City, total supply shortfalls (i.e., for <br />combined potable and recycled water) are projected in single dry years (ranging from 32 to 40 percent) and in <br />multiple dry years (ranging from 32 to 47 percent) through 2045. <br /> <br />If supply shortfalls do occur, the City expects to meet these supply shortfalls through water demand reductions <br />and other shortage response actions by implementation of its Water Shortage Contingency Plan (WSCP), which <br />was adopted on June 14, 2021 and is included in Chapter 8 of the City’s 2020 UWMP. With the implementation <br />of the Bay-Delta Plan Amendment, the projected single dry year shortfalls would require implementation of <br />Stage 4 or 5 of the City’s WSCP, while the projected multiple dry year shortfalls would require implementation <br />of Stage 4, 5 or 6 of the City’s WSCP. The City’s 2020 UWMP included projected water demand sufficient to <br />accommodate 30% the demand for Proposed Project. The remaining demand for the project is within the <br />available water supply for the City and would not change the level of water shortage the City may need to declare <br />in single or multiple dry years. Additionally, the Project would be subject to the same water conservation and <br />water use restrictions as other water users within the City’s system. <br /> <br />Under the scenario where it is assumed the Bay-Delta Plan Amendment is not implemented, the total projected <br />water supplies determined to be available for the Proposed Project in normal years will meet the projected <br />water demand associated with the Proposed Project, in addition to the City’s existing and planned future uses <br />through 2045. During single dry years and multiple dry years, supply shortfalls are projected for the City, but <br />they are significantly less than the projected supply shortfalls if the Bay-Delta Plan Amendment is implemented. <br />Supply shortfalls for both single dry years (ranging from 1 to 2 percent) and multiple dry years (ranging from 1 <br />to 11 percent) are projected through 2045. <br /> <br />ATTY/RESO.0027/CC RESO WATER SUPPLY ASSESSMENT (920 SHASTA) - EXHIBIT A <br />REV: 04-22-25 VR <br /> <br />Page 4 of 42