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4.0 - 2 <br />Fiscal Years <br />in (000 <br />2002 -03 <br />2003 -04 <br />2004 -05 <br />2005 -06 <br />s <br />a <br />a <br />a <br />Total Revenues <br />60,002 <br />63,659 <br />67,399 <br />69,783 <br />Total <br />Expenditures <br />(63,556) <br />(68,934) <br />(76,843) <br />(81,795) <br />Adjustments: <br />Police 3% @ 50 <br />(1,260) <br />State takeaways <br />(1,000) <br />(1,000) <br />(1,000) <br />Deficit - $ <br />(6,275) <br />(3,554) <br />(10,444) <br />(14,272) <br />Deficit - % <br />(5.59 %) <br />(9.10 %) <br />(13.59 %) <br />(17.45 %) <br />Our Solution <br />Obviously it is not rocket science that we must reduce ongoing expenditures while at the <br />same time increase revenue where possible. We can - --rease revenue through <br />appropriate new development that fits our general plan ar . Council goals, and by a <br />general recovery of the economy in the Bay Area. Both of these are doable, but will take <br />time, and hence it is appropriate that we use reserves to help solve the problem over three <br />years as we stated in a previous staff report to you. <br />The department heads looked at three scenarios of cutting expenditures and drawing down <br />reserves. These three scenarios all start with the present Council policy to deal with our <br />immediate deficit for FY 02/03 by drawing down reserves to handle two thirds of this <br />problem and to cut expenditures to handle the other third of this problem. Below we have <br />listed the three scenarios: <br />Scenario A <br />FY 02/03 <br />Estimated deficit $3.5M* Expenditure cuts = 33% of deficit <br />Draw down from reserves = 66% of deficit <br />FY 03/04 <br />Estimated deficit $6.3M* Expenditure cuts = 67% of deficit <br />Draw down from reserves = 33% of deficit <br />FY 04/05 <br />Estimated deficit $10.4M* Expenditure cuts = 100% of deficit <br />No use of reserves <br />FY 05/06 <br />Estimated deficit $14.3M* Expenditure cuts = 100% of deficit <br />No use of reserves <br />Page 2 of 5 <br />