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The first step is to gather student yields from a variety of our existing clients and <br />identify housing that is similar to Marina Shores Village. No development will be a <br />perfect match, but examining student yields from many different types of housing <br />will give a reasonable range within which the development's student yields are <br />likely to fall. <br /> <br />Student Yield Study, Part 2 (Optional) <br />It is customary to took at student yields within the specific school district where a <br />development is being built. This is problematic when the school district does not <br />have comparable housing within its boundaries. Nonetheless, we can perform a <br />student yield analysis specific to RCESD and SUHSD and use that information to <br />make informed estimates about the student yields likely from the Marina Shores <br />Village development. For example, we would measure the student yields in as <br />many apartment and condominium developments as possible within the school <br />districts. <br /> <br />This research requires student address data from each school district. We would <br />geocode, or electronically pin-map, students and include them on computer maps of <br />the districts that we will develop. We would gather information on <br />apartments/condos (such as address and number of units) in the districts. After <br />matching the two sources of data in our Geographic Information Systems (GIS) <br />software, we would count the number of students per study area (per <br />apartment/condo complex). <br /> <br />Measuring the student yields is a somewhat time-consuming process. We believe <br />this analysis is optional, as we have information on student yields in many other <br />districts that would give us a good indication of the likely range within which yields <br />are likely to fall. We believe the Student Yield Study, Part 1, could be sufficient for <br />estimating the likely impact of the development on school enrollments. We would <br />be happy, though, to produce a new student yield study specific to the two school <br />districts, if so desired. <br /> <br />Overall Enrollment Forecast <br />To have a basis for estimating long-term enrollment impact of the Marina Shores <br />Village Development and the ability of existing school facilities to house them, we <br />will perform an overall enrollment forecast for each school district. <br /> <br />Our forecasts use the standard demographic technique ("cohort survival") which <br />ages existing students, adjusting for migration into and out of the district, new <br />kindergarten classes, and new housing, if applicable. The following factors will be <br />taken into account in the forecasts: <br /> <br /> historical grade progression patterns (which reflect migration and housing <br /> turnover), <br /> <br /> <br />