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study intersections included in the analyses. The horizon years to be analyzed will include 2013 existing conditions, 2020 construction year, and 2040 design year. The study area and horizon years are an important consideration in the evaluation of the available regional models and their ability to meet the needs of the project traffic analysis. In addition, CONSULTANT will review the overall structure of the forecast models including the level of detail in the traffic analysis zones and roadway network with the study area. CONSULTANT will also review each model's capability to account for alternative travel modes and the potential for mode shifts in the future year forecasts. An evaluation matrix will be developed to demonstrate the features of each model and the applicability to the interchange project. Subtask 3.1.2-Draft Forecasting&Analysis Methodology Memorandum CONSULTANT will prepare a Draft Forecasting & Analysis Methodology Memorandum that documents the evaluation of the farecast models as well as outlines the methodology for converting the regional farecasts into project level forecasts including turning movement volumes. The conversion of the regional forecast volumes to turning movements will rely on commonly used techniques in order to allow the maximum transparency for Caltrans' review. The traffic volumes will be developed working off the new traffic counts (2013) utilizing the difference methodology for the estimating the increase in traffic at the study intersections. The methodology memarandum will also document the proposed techniques for evaluating the intersection and freeway operations including the analysis software to be used. Due to the congestion within the study area, these techniques must be capable of identifying bottlenecks and queue spillback that reduces the overall operational efficiency of the intersections and freeway. CONSULTANT proposes to use microsimulation software to perform the arterial intersection analysis along Woodside Road. Subtask 3.1.3-Forecasting&Analysis Methodology Memorandum Review CONSULTANT will meet with the CITY and PDT to review the findings of the methodology document and address any yuestions or comments. The meeting will include a review of each model's features and the ability of the model to meet the needs of the traffic operations analysis for the proposed horizon years. It is anticipated that the horizon years included in each model may be the critical consideration when selecting the TDF model. Subtask 3.1.4-Submit Forecasting&Analysis Methodology Memorandum CONSULTANT will revise the memorandum based on the meeting and submit the draft memorandum to Caltrans for review. The review of the draft will include the Caltrans reviewers from the functional units that will ultimately approve the forecasting and operations reports. Once Caltrans has provided comments on the draft memorandum, CONSULTANT will meet with the functional units, if necessary, to insure that the approach is satisfactory and resolve any outstanding comments on the methodology. Subtask 3.I.5-Finalize Forecasting&Analysis Methodology Memorandum The final document will incorporate the changes required to address Caltrans' comments in order to gain their approval of the analysis approach/methodology document. ATTY/AGR/2013.164/URS PROFESSIONAL SERVICES AGR REV:10-15-13 VR Page 19 of 78