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<br />;:::R- /5 <br /> <br />CB RICHARD ElLIS CONSULTING <br />Sedway Group <br /> <br />CBR <br /> <br />C8 RICHARD ELLIS <br /> <br />Mr. Larry Carr <br />September 15, 2005 <br />Page 3 <br /> <br />benefit from these expenditures because of their taxable retail sales generation potential, but so too <br />will the locally-owned businesses of Redwood City. <br /> <br />ApPROACH <br /> <br />Fiscal Revenues Analysis <br /> <br />CBRE Consulting conducted a quantitative analysis comparing the fiscal revenues attributable to <br />prospective R&D and office use of the property to the revenues attributable to Stanford Hospital and <br />Clinic's out-patient medical facility. The comparative fiscal impact analysis focused on several key <br />General Fund revenue sources, including property taxes, sales taxes, and utility users' taxes. The <br />analysis was conducted in 2006 dollars for a period of 20 years. The year 2006 was selected <br />because it is the year Stanford anticipates taking ownership of the property. A period of 20 years <br />was selected for the revenue analysis. This is a conservative assumption given that the anticipated <br />lifespan of medical equipment and improvements is much shorter, typically 8 to 12 years. <br /> <br />The General Fund revenue stream was discounted to a present value for comparative purposes, <br />where the present value is the value of the future revenues generated by the property discounted to <br />2006 (i.e., the value of the revenues if all were received by the City in 2006, the year Stanford <br />Hospital and Clinics takes possession). All future references to "present value" refer to the present <br />value of this General Fund revenue stream. Based on information provided by the City of Redwood <br />City finance Department, a discount rate of 3.12 percent was used. <br /> <br />Select Economic and Other Public Benefits <br /> <br />While Stanford Hospital and Clinics will not generate property tax revenues for the City of Redwood <br />City, there will be economic benefits to the Redwood City economy. The most readily quantifiable of <br />these benefits include the support of local businesses through local employee spending and patient <br />spending. The analysis includes projections of these local economic benefits, demonstrating the <br />extent to which local business sales may be attributable to the operation of the clinic. In addition, <br />Stanford Hospital and Clinics will make select payments to the City of Redwood City for impacts on <br />the community, such as traffic, water, and sewer impact fees. <br /> <br />Conservative and Reality-Based Assumption <br /> <br />The analysis by necessity includes a number of operational assumptions. Every effort was made to <br />approach the formulation of the assumptions in a conservative and reality-based manner. For <br />example, where possible, assumptions were based on actual performance of existing Stanford <br />Hospital and Clinics operations, including those of the departments anticipated to be relocated to <br />Redwood City. Inherent conservatisms include an assumption of no local spending by the Stanford <br />Hospital and Clinics in Redwood City, in recognition of existing vendor contracts in other Peninsula <br />locations. . <br />