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AgdaPkt 2005-10-24
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AgdaPkt 2005-10-24
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10/25/2005 11:12:23 AM
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10/20/2005 2:57:35 PM
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CC Index
CC Index - Document Type
Agenda Packet
Date
10/24/2005
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<br />7//- /6 <br /> <br />CB RICHARD ELLIS CONSULTING <br />Sedway Group <br /> <br />CBRE <br /> <br />CB RICHARD ELLIS <br /> <br />Mr. Larry Carr <br />September 15, 2005 <br />Page 4 <br /> <br />KEY PARAMETERS AND ASSUMPTIONS <br /> <br />To support the analysis, key parameters and assumptions required to estimate fiscal revenue impacts <br />and select economic benefits were defined, all of which are fully documented in the exhibits <br />presented in Appendix A. CBRE Consulting utilized conservative assumptions throughout the <br />analysis. The building sizes were obtained from the County Assessor's records, along with the current <br />assessed valuation (see Exhibit 1). Research was conducted with the San Mateo County Assessor's <br />Office to determine the appropriate City of Redwood City property tax rate for the properties, which <br />is 20.12 percent of the 1.0 percent property tax rate (see Exhibit 2). Standard assumptions relevant <br />to each scenario incorporated into the analysis, documented in Exhibit 2, include the following: <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />annual inflation relevant to retail sales was projected at 3.0 percent; <br />the City's retail sales and use tax rate is 1.0 percent of taxable sales; and <br />the City's utility users' tax rate is 5.0 percent. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />In addition, CBRE Consulting developed assumptions regarding utility rate increases. Electricity rates <br />are highly regulated by the California Public Utilities Commission. Accordingly, increases over time <br />have been erratic, which makes it difficult to establish a projected rate of increase for analytical <br />purposes. Conservatively, the analysis assumes a 1.0 percent annual rate of increase. Natural gas <br />prices are not highly regulated, and research indicates gas rates increased 4.1 percent annually <br />between 1988 and 2004. The analysis therefore assumes a continued 4.1 percent annual increase <br />in gas rates (see Exhibit 3). <br /> <br />Finally, based upon recent research published by the International Council of Shopping Centers, the <br />analysis assumes that each employee working in Redwood City spends $2,832 in annual taxable <br />sales in the city for expenditures such as lunch (16 percent), shoppers goods (45 percent), <br />convenience goods (31 percent), and dinner/drinks (8 percent). Due to the limited retail proximate to <br />the Mid Point facility this assumption was reduced by 25 percent to $2,124.3 <br /> <br />Other assumptions were developed relevant to each use. An overview of these assumptions, which <br />are documented in Appendix A, follows. <br /> <br />Key R&D Tenant Assumptions <br /> <br />There are several categories of assumptions unique to the potential reuse of the property by an R&D <br />user. These assumptions pertain to occupancy of the space, the valuation of the property, employee <br />density, utility rates, and tenant improvement allowances. <br /> <br />Reuse Potential. According to generally accepted real estate property definitions, the subject <br />property is classified as office space - R&D buildings are a maximum of three stories high. In the <br />Silicon Valley and San Francisco Peninsula markets, office and Class A R&D space are sometimes <br />considered interchangeable by tenants, whether they are traditional office users, technology, or <br />biotechnology companies. Regardless of the use, however, the subject property can be expected to <br /> <br />International Council of Shopping Centers, "Office Worker Retail Spending Patterns, A Downtown and <br />Suburban Area Study." The data reflect a professional telephone survey of 1,500 office workers in five <br />metropolitan areas that represent both average- and above-average retail densities. The surveys were <br />conducted from October 1, 2003 to October 30, 2003. The data were published in 2004. The ICSC survey <br />is a standard industry resource. The data are presented in 2005 dollars. <br />
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