Agmt19 National Demographics Corp.

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Task C: Test District Map(s) Task: Consultant will analyze whether it is possible to draw one or more majority -minority districts based on each of the following demographic databases: • 2014 and 2016 general election voter turnout by surname • 2014 and 2016 general election voter registration by surname • Citizen Voting Age Population (2012-2016 Department of Justice Special Tabulation) • Citizen Voting Age Population (2012-2016 American Community Survey) • Voting Age Population (2010 Census) • Total Population (2010 Census) Level 1 Deliverables: • Spreadsheet of District demographics in electronic and PDF format (Consultant) • Table listing elections, candidates, candidate ethnicity, and total votes (count and percentage) for each election collected. The table will be accompanied by a summary of which "protected class" candidates ran and whether they won or lost each election. The client will receive the report in PDF format. • Demographic data on test district(s) and PDF map of test districts. Level 1 Timeline: Complete by September 24, 2018 Cost: $3,750 for the analysis and report and web- or phone -conference call(s) to discuss. Consultant will attend any meetings/discussions in person as requested by the City Manager or her designee for a cost - $2,000 for each day of in-person meeting(s). Next Steps: At the completion of the Level I, Consultant will seek direction from the City Manager on whether or not to proceed with Level II, to jump to a later project level, or to consider the project complete. Consultant will not proceed with any additional work beyond Level I without written direction from the client. Level II—Racially Polarized Voting Analysis Task: Analysis of potential racially polarized voting patterns in key local and statewide elections. This includes: • An initial analysis of the City's two most recent Council elections; • Potential analysis of additional city, school, county, and statewide elections involving 'protected class' candidates and/or related issues; • Homogeneous precinct analysis of election results, if there are any homogeneous precincts in the City; • Ecological Regression analysis of election results. Deliverables: List of the elections analyzed, scattergram of election data, and tables of regression and homogeneous precinct analysis data. Page 10 of 13 REV: 09-24-18 VR ATTY/AGR.2018.228/National Demographics Corporation